http://www.metsparadise.com | Mets Paradise | New York Mets Blog & Forum
 

Mets Official News

 

Metsblog

 

Weather

 

MLB Trade Rumors

 

Social Networking

 

MLB Standings


Quick Hits ~ 11.30.2010

Written by Brandon Lee 14:14 PM, November 30th, 2010

Here is some quick new from around the league on the last day of November:

  • Keith Law reports that the Colorado Rockies and short stop Troy Tulowitzki have agreed to a seven year, $119M contract extension.

That's $17M a season, Jose Reyes.

  • Yorvit Torrealba signed a two year, 6.25M deal with the Texas Rangers, Jeff Wilson reports. The Mets apparently had interest in signing Torreabla, according to Ken Davidoff.
  • Tom Haurdicourt writes that Milwaukee Brewers GM Doug Melvin isn't sure whether they should keep Prince Fielder or try to trade him. In an on-line poll of 2830 people, 51% say to keep him and 49% say to try him.

Here is the list of players who declind arbiration today:

Type-A:

  • Cliff Lee
  • Adrian Beltre
  • Carl Crawford
  • Rafael Soriano
  • Jayson Werth

Type-B:

  • Orlando Hudson
  • Brad Hawpe
  • Jesse Crain
  • Felipe Lopez
  • Kevin Correia
  • Octavio Dotel
  • Aaron Heilman
  • Trevor Hoffman

No Comments »

Feliciano Declines Arbitration

Written by Brandon Lee 14:14 PM, November 30th, 2010

Ken Davidoff reports that Pedro Feliciano has declined the Mets offer for arbitration. This means if he chooses to sign with another team, they would have to give the Mets a compensatory draft pick. 

Feliciano is looking for a multi-year deal and will test the market to see if he can get it. The Mets still can re-sign Feliciano, but he is now allowed to talk to other teams as well. 

If he accepted arbitration he probably would have received around $4M. I wonder if the Mets have the money to sign Pedro. If I were the Mets I’d offer him two years $9M with a option for a third year. I don’t think he’ll get much more than that out on the market considering he is 35 with a lot of work on that left arm. 

No Comments »

Mets Have Interest In Young

Written by Brandon Lee 13:13 PM, November 30th, 2010

Jim Baumbach reports that the Mets and free agent pitcher Chris Young have been talking to try to work out a deal.

There were earlier reports saying that the Mets had signed Young, but the two sides are just talking.

Baumbach says that Young has spoken to the Mets but a deal is not close yet.

I like this move for the Mets. They don’t have a lot of money to spend, so the goal should be to sign low risk, high reward type guys. Chris Young is that type of free agent.

Young, who turns 32 in May, has been deal with injury problems the past three seasons. Even with his injuries last season, he pitched 20 innings and went 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

Young was an All-Star back in 2007 when he went 9-8 with a 3.12 ERA in 172 IP.

The injuries definitely concern me, but if the Mets can get him for a good deal I would do it. When he’s healthy he is a very solid pitcher. The problem is just getting him healthy.

If the Mets sign him they might also want to look at another low risk, high reward pitcher. Maybe Brandon Webb, Brad Penny, and Erik Bedard.

No Comments »

Moneyball Effect on The Mets and Jose Reyes

Written by Mo Miller 20:20 PM, November 29th, 2010

I recently finished Moneyball, and towards the end author Michael Lewis discusses how in 2002, when the Oakland A's acquired Ray Durham, it transformed Durham. Durham, a very aggressive baserunner, used to make single into doubles, doubles into triples, no longer was that aggressive. Durham, who averaged a stolen base every 4.8 games on the White Sox, averaged one stolen base every nine games on the A's. Lewis also noted that current Mets Vice President of player development and scouting, Paul DePodesta ran numbers, on how stealing bases did more harm than good. I began to think to myself, Durham pre-A's sounds a lot like a player we all know and love, Jose Reyes. What effect will the new regime have on Reyes? New Mets General Manager Sandy Alderson's first move was picking up Jose Reyes' option for 2011, at the time Alderson was quoted as saying:  "A long-term deal is not out of the question," Alderson said. "It is something we can certainly discuss at a future date."  But in an interview last week  Alderson said that he would like to first see Reyes play a year before making any decisions. Is that because Alderson & Co. want to see if Reyes can play well in their system?  Do they want to see if Reyes could be more like Hanley RamirezMore broadly, what will happen to the usually run happy Mets? When Citi Field was first built there were many skeptics wondering about the dimensions of Citi Field, the Wilpons said they built the stadium with pitching, defense speed in mind. At Alderson's press conference he was asked about the dimensions, and said he had no plans in the immediate future to move in the fences. Last week in that interview, Alderson said he wants to see Citi Field for a year, before making any decisions, although ideally he would like it to more a hitters park. Which is it? Does Alderson want to live by the Mets philosophy of pitching, defense and speed, or does he want to do the moneyball approach of on base percentage, and slugging percentage? 

So I decided to do some research on Alderson's A's, DePodesta's Dodgers, and J.P. Ricciardi's(special assistant to the GM) Blue Jays, to see how run happy, or non-run happy they actually were, to help shed some light on the subject. (All stats courtesy of Baseball Reference)

Alderson first:

  Triples Stolen Bases Caught Stealing Total Stolen Bases Attempted
1983 28 235 98 333
1984 29 145 64 209
1985 34 117 58 175
1986 25 139 61 200
1987 33 140 63 203
1988 22 129 54 183
1989 25 157 55 212
1990 22 141 54 195
1991 19 151 64 215
1992 24 143 59 202
1993 21 131 59 190
1994 13 91 39 130
1995 18 112 46 158
1996 21 58 35 93
1997 23 71 36 107
Average 24 131 56 187

Keep in mind many of these years were with Rickey Henderson. In 1983, Henderson had 103 stolen bases alone. If we take out 1983, the averages change to 22, 115, 50, and 165 respectively. 

DePodesta:

  Triples Stolen Bases Caught Stealing Total Stolen Bases Attempted
2004 30 102 41 143
2005 21 58 35 93
Average 26 80 38 118

While a small sample, we still see what DePodesta's philosophy is, which possibly led to his firing at the end of 2005.

Ricciardi: 

  Triples Stolen Bases Caught Stealing Total Stolen Bases Attempted
2002 38 71 18 89
2003 33 37 25 62
2004 34 58 31 89
2005 39 72 35 107
2006 27 65 33 98
2007 24 57 22 79
2008 32 80 27 107
2009 13 73 23 96
Average 30 64 27 91

If one were to average out Alderson, DePodesta, and Ricciardi's averages, you would get 26 triples, 92 stolen bases, 40 caught stealing's, and 132 total stolen bases attempts.

Now let's compare those numbers with numbers from the Mets last six seasons(from the beginning of the Minaya regime):

  Triples Stolen Bases Caught Stealing Total Stolen Bases Attempted
2005 32 153 40 193
2006 41 146 35 181
2007 27 200 46 246
2008 38 138 36 174
2009 49 122 44 166
2010 40 130 44 174
Average 38 148 41 189

As one can clearly see, the philosophy that the new front office's philosophy differs greatly with what we've been used to. I think that's exactly why Alderson is waiting a year before making any drastic moves, he wants to see how this team can play his baseball, in this ballpark(the way it is). While Alderson has not said it straight out, we see clearly from his words and his actions (or lack thereof) that he sees 2011 as a transition year. He wants to see how the New York Mets play Sandy Alderson's style of baseball. Whatever the case is, there is one thing that we know for sure, there will be no more sacrifice bunts in the first inning.

No Comments »

Feliciano: Considering Accepting Arbitration

Written by Brian Kalinka 17:17 PM, November 27th, 2010

This morning, Ken Davidoff of Newsday tweeted that Pedro Feliciano's agent Melvin Roman says his client is "seriously considering" accepting the Mets' arbitration offer. 

Feliciano, who turns 35 soon, earned $2.9M in 2010 and could make around $3.5M in 2011 if he accepts the Mets' arbitration offer and then goes through the arbitration process. 

MLBTR also believes the Yankees have high interest in the left-handed specialist, and suspect that other teams have strong interest in Feliciano as a lefty-specialist due to his durability over the last three seasons and as a great Plan B given the high asking prices of Scott Downs and Brian Fuentes

There is some skepticism of Feliciano's age and league-leading relief appearances over the last 2 seasons, as a cause for concern for how much longer his arm can hold up given the mileage on it. 

MLBTR also recently did a "Free Agent Stock Watch" for Feliciano and broke down the pro's and con's of pursuing the Lefty this winter. 

No Comments »

  • My Thoughts on Terry Collins

    Post on: 20:20 PM, November 24th, 2010

    I've heard a lot of negative reaction from many Mets fans and even baseball fans of other MLB Teams, and the main reason is they don't know who he is due to length of time since he managed in the MLB.  Now, I myself had to do a ton of research on Collins and there just wasn't much there, but what I found that makes me ok to give him a chance is that he's tough-skinned, an...

    Continue Reading...
  • Return of Eyes of a Teen 4.0

    Post on: 17:17 PM, November 23rd, 2010

    Well, the manager has been announced, now its time for another Eyes of a Teen post. I must say, I am disappointed that Sandy Alderson did not name Wally Backman to be the manager. I can't change it. Well, the Mets fans have to deal with Terry Collins, and as Mets Paradise's own Brandon L...

    Continue Reading...
  • Terry Collins On ESPN Radio with Michael Kay

    Post on: 16:16 PM, November 23rd, 2010

    Mets new manager Terry Collins, was just on ESPN Radio, with Michael Kay.  A couple of things to note:  Josh Thole is going to be the Mets catcher, Collins likes how he worked with the pitchers last season As of now Carlos Beltran is still the Center Fielder, Collins is going to speak to him ...

    Continue Reading...
  • Warthen To Return, HoJo Unlikely

    Post on: 9:09 AM, November 23rd, 2010

    Now that Terry Collins has won the job of Mets head coach, he needs to pick out the rest of his coaching staff. Andy Martino reports that Collins will keep on pitching coach Dan Warthen. There was some speculation that he might hire his Dave Wallace as the new pitching coach, but the Mets as well as Collins were satisfied with the level of work that Warthen did ...

    Continue Reading...
  • Give Collins A Chance

    Post on: 13:13 PM, November 22nd, 2010

    If I told you that I felt joy and excitement when I read the news that Terry Collins would be the next Mes manager, I'd be lying. Between him, Wally Backman, Bob Melvin and Chip Hale, Collins was my least favorite. After the Pittsburg...

    Continue Reading...
  • Backman “Devastated” After Not Being Named Manager

    Post on: 12:12 PM, November 22nd, 2010

    Wally Backman tells MLB.com that he thought he was the right man for the job as Mets manager. Backman had this to say after hearing the news that Terry Collins was named the manager: "I was real excited and now I'm real devastated. I though...

    Continue Reading...
  • Mets Hire Collins To Manage

    Post on: 11:11 AM, November 22nd, 2010

    The New York Mets have announced that they will hire Terry Collins to be the team's manager. Jon Heyman reports that Collins will get a two year deal from the Mets. Heyman, along with others, originally reported ...

    Continue Reading...
  • Free Agent Focus: Miguel Olivo

    Post on: 12:12 PM, November 19th, 2010

    ...

    Continue Reading...
  • Sherman: 15 Teams Interested in Justin Upton

    Post on: 11:11 AM, November 19th, 2010

    Joel Sherman reports that 15 to 16 teams showed interested in Arizona Diamondbacks' outfielder Justin Upton at the GM meetings. Five of those teams showed strong interest and will continue to talk to the D'backs about Upton. Arizona's asking price for the outfielder is said to ...

    Continue Reading...
  • Source: Melvin Likely To Be Named Manager

    Post on: 11:11 AM, November 19th, 2010

    Mike Silva reports that he has been told that the Mets are likely to name Bob Melvin their manager. Melvin interviewed well and the Mets liked his "overall preparedness and knowledge of the organization." Wally Backman also impressed Sany Alderson during the interview process, but doesn...

    Continue Reading...
Next
12
 

Categories

 
 

Mets Spotlight

Mets Spotlight Week 1

 

MLB.com Standings

 

MLB.com Scores