Minnesota Twins
I was recently able to ask Nick Nelson from Nick’s Twins Blog some questions about the Twins.
ZA: Joe Mauer is obviously one of the best players in the game, certainly the best catcher. He just got a monster contract this year that will keep him in Minnesota for 8 more years. What does Mauer mean to the team and the city, and what do you think of the contract?
NN: The Twins have had to part ways with a couple premier players over the past few years: Johan Santana and Torii Hunter. The fan base absorbed those losses, but Mauer is a different case. For one thing, he’s younger and better than Santana and Hunter were. He’s also more irreplaceable; the Twins have found a fine center field solution in Denard Span and have assembled a solid rotation in spite of Santana’s absence, but no player in the Twins organization (or in baseball) can step in and fill Mauer’s shoes. For those reasons, keeping Mauer makes plenty of sense from a competitive standpoint. Of course, his status as a hometown star and fan favorite magnify his legacy, which is why it was never very realistic to imagine that the Twins might let him leave just as they’re opening a taxpayer-funded stadium.
ZA: The Twins are moving into a new ballpark for this coming season. It’s going to be an outdoor stadium unlike the Metrodome and I assume there won’t be Astroturf. How do you think this will affect the team this season and tell me a little bit about the new stadium.
NN: Well, the Twins haven’t been playing on Astroturf for some time now. They had Field Turf installed several years ago, which plays more like natural grass and should keep the transition from being earth-shattering (although I’m sure we’ll see an effect; very balls zipping through the infield and of course no pop-ups lost in the milky white ceiling). As for Target Field, we’re all very excited about it. It was an interesting project, built upon only about eight square acres (the smallest amount of space any major-league stadium has been built on) and tucked into the west end of downtown Minneapolis. It’s a beautiful stadium with plenty of cool quirks, but mostly we’re just glad to be able to watch games outdoors during these amazing Minnesota summer evenings.
ZA: Before the 2008 season the Minnesota Twins traded Johan Santana to the Mets for a group of minor leaguers. Johan has been one of if not the best players for us the past few seasons, even though hasn’t translated to a playoff berth. What do you think about this trade looking back on it?
NN: I didn’t like the trade much at the time and certainly I don’t like it now, given that none of the prospects acquired by the Twins has really amounted to much. It was a difficult situation for Bill Smith, who had been thrown into the general manager position in a big hurry after Terry Ryan’s unexpected resignation. Santana’s contract demands severely limited potential trade partners, and by the time of the deal I don’t think anyone was seriously bidding other than the Mets. None of the four players that Smith added in the deal have done a whole lot for the Twins, but the club has managed to turn Carlos Gomez and Kevin Mulvey into JJ Hardy and Jon Rauch — who both figure to be significant contributors this year — so it’s not all bad.
ZA: Tell me a little bit about your farm system. There always seems to be a steady stream of major league talent coming out of there. What makes them so good on such a small budget.
NN: The Twins are reputed for having an excellent scouting department, and that shows on the field; as you mention, there’s a lot of homegrown talent contributing for them right now. This organization has some basic philosophies and traditions that they stick to — namely using high draft picks on toolsy high school position players or polished college pitchers — and that strategy has worked well for them. Recently they’ve started infusing more monetary resources into scouting, especially on the international side, and it’s been a huge boon for their farm system, which was actually somewhat beleaguered about a year ago.
ZA: I alluded to Mauer’s monster contract before. The Twins are not usually a team to dole out contracts like that. Do you think this contract will hinder the team’s ability in the future to sign free agents and compete?
NN: Any time you’re putting close to a quarter of your total payroll toward one single player, there’s obviously a good chance it will limit the things you’re able to do as far as upgrading other areas of your club. But I’ll say this: if you take away $23 million (the amount Mauer will make each year once his contract kicks in) from this year’s total team payroll, it would leave the Twins with around $73 million, which is still more than they have spent in past years. That’s how much of an impact the new stadium has had on this team from a financial standpoint, and it’s why they can afford to take this big risk with Mauer.
ZA: Joe Nathan is done for the season. He might be the most underrated player in baseball. He’s one of the 2 or 3 best closers in the game. How much do you think this will hurt the team for the upcoming season?
NN: It will hurt, without question. Nathan was as close to automatic as you’ll find in this league. The Twins have quality bullpen depth this year and there are a few guys capable of handling the closer role, with Pat Neshek (who missed all of last year due to Tommy John surgery) looking like a dark horse candidate. But losing 70 innings of elite, high-leverage relief is a big hit.
ZA: I wanted to ask you about Francisco Liriano. A few years back, he was a phenom. No one could touch the guy. But then he suffered some serious injuries and we haven’t really seen him pitch at the level since. Do you think we’ll ever see him pitch at that level again? And what are your expectations for him this season.
NN: I don’t think we’ll ever see him pitching at the same level he was at in 2006, no. But all that means is that he won’t be the best pitcher in the league. It’s been a tough road back from Tommy John surgery, but Liriano has followed up a spectacular showing in the Dominican Winter League with some dominant performances down in spring training. There’s a lot of optimism that he can step up and pitch like an ace for the Twins this year.
ZA: Tell me about some of the young pitchers you have in your starting rotation. They’re not very high-profile yet, but there is definitely some talent there.
NN: Scott Baker is probably the most established of the young guys. He’s been consistently above average over the past three years, although most wouldn’t group him as one of the league’s elite starters. His excellent command and solid strikeout rates help cover up for a vulnerability to the long ball. Those same things can be said about Kevin Slowey, another control pitcher capable of missing bats. Slowey had his season cut short by an injury last year, but he’s been phenomenal this spring and his minor-league track records suggest that he could do some special things. Nick Blackburn is a steady pitch-to-contact guy who can eat up innings and generally give you quality starts. Liriano, as I mentioned, is trying to rekindle the fire that he torched the league with back in ’06.
ZA: What are your expectations for this season? Can this team win the division again without Nathan?
NN: The impact of losing Nathan is overstated by many. He’s a great closer, but studies have shown that the difference between having an elite reliever and a merely good reliever in that role — in terms of actual wins and losses — isn’t that large. I don’t doubt that the Twins will see a few more ninth-inning leads slip away than they otherwise would have, but it shouldn’t prevent them from being able to come out on top of an eminently winnable AL Central. They have the division’s best offense, with a good young rotation and a deep bullpen.
—
Once again I’d like to thank Nick Nelson for answering a few questions for us!
