Moving that loooooooong message board post to a thread:
@ Canada Mets Fan : (18 Nov 2015 - 11:57)
When you put it that way, not sure I'd give a 32 year old SS that money.@ METS FANG : (18 Nov 2015 - 10:51)
so, essentially, they agreed to give a 32 year old a 4 year 61M contract@ METS FANG : (18 Nov 2015 - 10:46)
thing is most of those "prime years" are arbitration eligible@ brian stark : (18 Nov 2015 - 10:43)
The Crawford deal is 6 years at 75 mil. Wonder how that affects the asking prices for Desmond and Cabrera...(19 Nov 2015 - 16:28)
Canada Mets Fan : (18 Nov 2015 - 11:57)
When you put it that way, not sure I'd give a 32 year old SS that money
That decision is based on misinformation and a segmented view of the 6 yrs. 75M. First the free agent time bought out are years 31-34, not year 32-. Secondly, what needs to be considered is what Crawford 2nd year of arbitration would cost the Giants. Ian Desmond in his first year of arb. eligible parlayed a 3.4 WAR into 3.8 M. He then followed in year 1 with a 3.6 WAR which earned him a 6.5M salary in year 2. Finally in year 2 he played to a 3.9 WAR which paid him 11M in his walk year. Crawford in his final pre-arb. season posted a 3.3 WAR which garnered him a salary of 3.2M in 2015, his first arb. season. This season Crawford posted a 5.6 WAR (1st -SS), XBH (1st), RBI 1st, Hrs. (1st), Def. (3rd). In arbitration what would a 5.6 WAR from be worth if 2 years ago 3.6 was valued at 6.5M? The point being that 2 years of arbitration remaining might have cost the Giants 8.5M and 12.5 (?). Which would reduce the 4 years of FA (31-34) cost to 13.5 M. The QO has increased 1.7M in the past 2 seasons......2 years from now the Giants may be paying a top SS 4M below the QO, if their were a QO. The Giants FO doesn't make many errors, I don't think that 6 - 75 for Crawford was one of them.
I'll start by asking where is the disinformation? that seems like an accusation of deceit , is that what you're saying?
For the year, apologies, I was going off memory in a quick message chat board, I got the year wrong. 31-34, not 32-35. Hardly misinformation, just a small error.
Second, you can make your guesses as to arbitration, but lets not forget ian desmond got his 11M arbitration raise only after he showed his numbers were repeatable over 3 full seasons in multiple offensive categories. Crawford has not proven that yet with only 1 breakout season. Usually when you guarantee money, its a gamble and you get a discount for that because it could go terribly wrong, and you're still stuck. For instance, imagine if the Mets had come to terms for a big extension with Duda after last year's numbers.... ooops.
But lets make an assumption that he did follow the Ian Desmond track (1 time MVP candidate, 3 time SS winner), and gets an extra 4M for arbitration, then I'd consider the deal with it. But that a BIG IF. Only after he's proven that track record would I consider signing a 31 year old to a 4 year 57M deal, but, but at this point its still a hard sell for a guy whos done it once and you've now guaranteed 57M to a 31 year old.
You can disagree with that, but remember its an opinion based on guess work, not misinformation.