Don't know if yogi will welcome ME as a commenter, but here it is.
I like what Hamilton brings in the speed column, but as Saxon noted, he does not have a good history to reflect on.
While the four month or so stretch noted by yogi COULD be a sign of development, there are two caveats, IMO.
1. Do you risk basing the next three years on 312 PAs with many coming in the hitter-loving GAP or the previous 1200 or so PAs?
2. Oblique injuries can be reoccurring, and he already has a batting contact issue. That's not a good combination.
If Hamilton is healthy and his four month deal was really a light going off, then sure, he's an interesting option.
Can we risk that? What will it cost to get him?
The one DEFINITE positive he has is GREAT defense in center. Elite, really. I'm not sure which way to feel on him.
Didn't spot this post when it was put up.
There is a risk in judging future performance on a sample size of 3 months, but there are indicators of a 25 yr. old player progressing. Through his first 3 seasons his BB% was 5.8 which is poor...last season it was up to 7.8 % for the season and 9% in that 312 PA sample. Part of the correction was an increase in Pit/PA which is just below ML avg.
When he first came to stay 2014 his SB% was 71, over the past two seasons it is 88%. I see all these positives as evidence of a teachable player who is making an effort to improve his skills.
What is undeniable is his base running ability. In the 2013-15 period with the sub .300 OBP, 85% of his onbase events were initiated on 1B and he scored 43% of the time.
In 2014 he essentially replaced Shin-Soo Choo who scored 107 runs with an OBP .423 and was rewarded with a 7 yr. 130 M contract. Choo scored on 31% of his on base events and had an XBT percentage of 40%.
Hamilton scored on 38% of his on base events and had 63% XBT.
This type of player is rare, we saw the end of Ricky Henderson's career, Maury Wills, Vince Coleman and the young Jose...all with ability to imprint their will on the game and disrupt the defense.
The Reds need pitching and next season will be Brandon Phillips last. I send them Jay Bruce back to where he is comfortable, Gsellman and Cecchini, should Herrera not work out, and get Hamilton and Michael Lorenzen a big 24 yr. old RH RP who pitched 50 innings last season with 48 Ks and only 13 BB. 2.88 ERA and a whip of 1.08.
They get Bruce whom they can flip at the deadline plus two players with a full 6 years of control each and we have traded from depth.