This was posted on the wrong thread ....see it on Random Off-season thoughts
Very well done Jeff, I'll add a name that I think will be in play for 3B free agents. Jed Lowrie has a 6.5 M option that the A's are unlikely to pick up. Joey Wendle, their 3B of the future had an eye opening Sept. call up after 3 seasons of consistent .285/.765 hitting, SB speed and a solid glove at 3B.
Lowrie, 33 is coming off a strong season .277/.808 with 14 Hrs. He is also a sure glove but may be losing a step.
The addition of another viable 3B will help to drive prices down in the FA market.
I also looked at who where the Mets stiffest completion for one of the better choices, I used team OPS at 3B with.750 as my threshold. 11 teams fell below .750 ranging from the Yankees at .741 to the Giants at .568. I eliminated six teams as not being in play for a 3B for mostly obvious reasons. Rays, CWS, Marlins, Phillies, Braves and Pirates who lost Jung Ho Kang to a visa issue created by his conviction for DWI in S. Korea. And the Red Sox who rode Sandoval .212/.622 and Deven Marrero .211/.593 until they released Sandoval and brought up a unanimous top 20 prospect Rafael Devers who hit .284/.819 in 58 games with 10 Hrs.
Which leaves the Yankees, Giants, Angels and Mets. The Yankees will abandon any hope of reducing their payroll to under 189 M. After this season and coming within 1 game of the WS the Yankees will spend money.
The Giants will need to spend on the rotation as well as the lineup, as the Giants went from 87 wins to 64 in 2017 as they were outscored 145 runs. The Giants were 14th in Runs and had a slash line that was 11th/14th/15th/15th. The rotation went from 4th in ERA to 8th, 4th in H to 14th and from 7th in SVs to 15th. The Giants are facing only a net 16M increase in committed salary. Crawford and Pence had poor seasons, depth players Stubbs, Morse, Ruggiano and Aaron Hill all got old at the same time. The Giants will need to find two starts....maybe three if Cueto opts out and leaves 4years and 89 M on the table. A full season by Bumgarner will go a long way to bring the team back up. So will replacing the worst 3B stats in MLB.
The Angels were carried last season by the pitching staff, the lineup slash line was a dismal 14th/11th/15th/15th. The Angels have 37 M coming off the books and another 20 M if they pass on options for Nolasco and Street. They face only a 22 M increase in committed salary. Three of the FA are players that should have needed to be replaced after the poor season they had at 2B, 3B and LF. The Angels would like to keep Justin Upton which would be an immense upgrade. If the Angels let Nolesco go they will need to replace two starting pitchers, fortunately they have Garrett Richards and Alex Meyer ready to take the ball. They also have an enthusiastic owner in Arty Moreno willing to spend money as needed.
The Mets will not spend on the same level with these teams and the Mets have as many if not more questions marks as any of them. Conforto's health...the health of the rotation, Cecchini, Dom Brown and Rosario haven't hit, Cespedes has missed 110 games in the past two seasons and takes plays off when it suits him with immunity. With DW doubtful and Grandy gone there is no leadership.
Maybe the FO has come to the same conclusion and will take the same path as last season pick up Cabrera, offer 35 yr. old Reyes a 2 year 16 M contract add an OF like Colby Rasmus, M Upton or Seth Smith. The FO also wants a veteran SP to eat up innings...some low hanging fruit could be Clayton Richard or Jhoulys Chacin.